Yazar "Belke, Murat" seçeneğine göre listele

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    IS THERE A CAUSAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE AND PREMIUM PRODUCTION? EVIDENCE FROM TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY
    (Mehmet Akif Ersoy Univ, 2023) Isik, Ozcan; Shabir, Mohsin; Belke, Murat
    This study aims at determining the causal link between financial performance and premium production of non-life insurance companies. The relation between the financial performance and premium production is explored employing data from the 2011-2019 period for eight Turkish non-life insurance companies. In the first stage of the analysis, a hybrid model including LOPCOW, SWARA II, and MARCOS methods is proposed to determine companies' financial performance values. In this stage, a novel integrated weighting method for calculating criterion weights is applied based on objective information and judgements of decision-makers. In the second stage, the association between financial performance and premium production is investigated by correlation analysis. In the last stage, the causality linkage between the two variables is estimated using a panel causality test developed by Dumitrescu and Hurlin (2012). According to the results obtained from the panel causality test, the bidirectional causality relation exists between financial performance and premium production. Besides, the individual panel causality results reveal that bidirectional causality is valid for only Allianz and Anadolu insurance companies, which had an average share of over 35% in total non-life premium production during the analysis period. The paper provides fresh evidence on the association between the financial performance and premium production, particularly from the Turkish context. This is the first study to
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    LİKİDİTE RİSKİNİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİ: BORSA İSTANBUL’A KOTE MEVDUAT BANKALARINDAN KANITLAR
    (Economic and Financial Research Association, 2017) Işık, Özcan; Belke, Murat
    Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türk bankacılık sektöründe faaliyet gösteren ticari bankaların likidite riskinin belirleyicilerini incelenmektir. Bu amaçla çalışmada, Borsa İstanbul'da işlem gören 13 ticari bankaya ait 2006-2015 dönemi için banka düzeyindeki veriler kullanılmıştır. Panel veri analizlerine dayalı ampirik bulgular, bankaların likidite riskinde meydana gelen değişimleri açıklamada bankaya özgü (banka büyüklüğü, özkaynak kârlılığı, banka sermayesi, mevduattaki büyüme, kredi kayıpları karşılığı) ve makroekonomik belirleyicilerin  (ekonomik büyüme ve enflasyon oranı gibi) önemli olduğunu göstermektedir. Daha açık şekilde ifade edilirse, özkaynak kârlılığı, banka sermayesi, mevduattaki büyüme, kredi kayıpları karşılığı ve enflasyon oranı gibi değişkenler likidite riskiyle negatif ve anlamlı olarak ilişkiliyken, banka büyüklüğü ve ekonomik büyüme gibi değişkenler likidite riskiyle pozitif ve anlamlı olarak ilişkilidir. Ayrıca sonuçlar, küresel finansal kriz ve net faiz marjı gibi değişkenlerin ticari bankaların likidite riski üzerinde önemli bir etkisi olmadığını göstermektedir.
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    The Validity of Twin Deficits Hyphothesis in Turkey: Bounds Testing Approach
    (Maliye Bakanligi, 2011) Bolat, Su. leyman; Belke, Murat; Aras, Ozan
    This paper examines the validity of twin deficits hypothesis (the relationship between the budget deficit and the current account deficit) using the data period 1998:1-2010: 4 in Turkey. The paper that examines the short-run and long-run relationship between the budget deficit and the current account deficit uses the bounds testing approach. Our results show that there is no long-run relationship between the two deficits but there is a strong positive relationship between the two deficits in the short-run. When the budget deficit increases one percent, the current account deficit also increases 0,18 percent in the short-run. While the findings support the Keynesian approach that holds the validity of the twin deficits hypothesis in the short-run, they support the Ricardian equivalence hypothesis that rejects the twin deficits hypothesis in the long-run.