Deep Learning Forecasting Model for Market Demand of Electric Vehicles

Küçük Resim Yok

Tarih

2024

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

MDPI

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess

Özet

The increasing demand for electric vehicles (EVs) requires accurate forecasting to support strategic decisions by manufacturers, policymakers, investors, and infrastructure developers. As EV adoption accelerates due to environmental concerns and technological advances, understanding and predicting this demand becomes critical. In light of these considerations, this study presents an innovative methodology for forecasting EV demand. This model, called EVs-PredNet, is developed using deep learning methods such as LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) and CNNs (Convolutional Neural Networks). The model comprises convolutional, activation function, max pooling, LSTM, and dense layers. Experimental research has investigated four different categories of electric vehicles: battery electric vehicles (BEV), hybrid electric vehicles (HEV), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV), and all electric vehicles (ALL). Performance measures were calculated after conducting experimental studies to assess the model's ability to predict electric vehicle demand. When the performance measures (mean absolute error, root mean square error, mean squared error, R-Squared) of EVs-PredNet and machine learning regression methods are compared, the proposed model is more effective than the other forecasting methods. The experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in forecasting the electric vehicle demand. This model is considered to have significant application potential in assessing the adoption and demand of electric vehicles. This study aims to improve the reliability of forecasting future demand in the electric vehicle market and to develop relevant approaches.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

electric vehicles, forecasting, deep learning, LSTM, CNN

Kaynak

Applied Sciences-Basel

WoS Q Değeri

Q1

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

14

Sayı

23

Künye